When the going gets tough, India just dishes out couple of reforms to disrupt the slowdown!!
Yes, that's exactly what happened today. Indian govt. came out with a welcome note to MNC's like Walmart, Tesco to come and set up shop in India. The announcement of cabinet note, that allows 51% FDI in multi brand retail & 100% FDI in single brand retail means, MNC's like Walmart, Tesco stand a chance to compete for $450 billion retail market of India. That's not all, it's poised to double in just about a decade to $900 billion by 2020. I would say, the day is not far, when it would sound more like $2 trillion, hopefully by 2025. This is an excellent opportunity for MNC's who are struggling with slow down in their home markets.
India's growth story so far has been led by it's consumption. So, this move is very well thought out to attract FDI, which is going to help India build it's cold chain logistics, which will support farmers. It's going to result in a better deal to farmers, who are currently being squeezed by middle-men.
But, it appears that India missed a chance to time this move well. Had this been 2008, MNC's would have reacted exceptionally well to this announcement, but this is 2011. Eurozone crisis, talk of double dip recession in US, possible slow down in China and the possibility of property bubble in China do make them think long and hard before making a move. That means, even Indian markets would have to wait for a while before turning bullish on retail companies. All in all, there is a lot to cheer about this move.
Yes, that's exactly what happened today. Indian govt. came out with a welcome note to MNC's like Walmart, Tesco to come and set up shop in India. The announcement of cabinet note, that allows 51% FDI in multi brand retail & 100% FDI in single brand retail means, MNC's like Walmart, Tesco stand a chance to compete for $450 billion retail market of India. That's not all, it's poised to double in just about a decade to $900 billion by 2020. I would say, the day is not far, when it would sound more like $2 trillion, hopefully by 2025. This is an excellent opportunity for MNC's who are struggling with slow down in their home markets.
India's growth story so far has been led by it's consumption. So, this move is very well thought out to attract FDI, which is going to help India build it's cold chain logistics, which will support farmers. It's going to result in a better deal to farmers, who are currently being squeezed by middle-men.
But, it appears that India missed a chance to time this move well. Had this been 2008, MNC's would have reacted exceptionally well to this announcement, but this is 2011. Eurozone crisis, talk of double dip recession in US, possible slow down in China and the possibility of property bubble in China do make them think long and hard before making a move. That means, even Indian markets would have to wait for a while before turning bullish on retail companies. All in all, there is a lot to cheer about this move.